2016 Swing State Map

Politico has identified 11 states where the 2016 election will be won and lost.

2016 swing state map. These are the states that have some plausible chance to be competitive in 2016 based on a 270towin review of various forecasts. To create a 2020 map visit the home page or begin editing below. The map at this url was originally created for the 2016 election as a trump vs. Includes races for president senate house governor and key ballot measures.

Colorado florida iowa michigan nevada new hampshire north carolina ohio pennsylvania virginia and. Politico s live 2016 election results and maps by state county and district. Possible swing state issues for 2016. The state is also a significant swing state in united states politics.

How the swing o matic works. When you adjust the vote and turnout above our model recalculates the results for each state as well as the electoral college outcome and the national popular vote taking into account how much of the state s electorate the group accounts for. You ve heard the saying that every vote counts. The state has been known to be a key figure determining the presidential winner.

See which states have the potential to determine the election. Nevada and iowa were also important states in 2012 where president obama gained enough small swing state votes to lessen the importance of bigger swing states like florida and ohio. Polls among latinos show that. We then adjusted the size of those groups based on four years of population change.

By melanie mignucc i. With racial diversity a fact or on the rise in four out of the seven swing states presidential candidates will have a hard time skirting this issue as they campaign. With a clean slate in june 2016 the democratic and republican presidential candidates have already started targeting some battleground states. We started with the results of the 2012 election and the support for each party s candidate by the five demographic groups.

In 2016 donald trump managed to win in this state with the popularity of 47 6 while hilary clinton acquired 47 3. The majority of swing state polling shows biden with an advantage overall and among michigan pennsylvania and florida were key to trump s win in 2016. Each has unique challenges that democrats and republicans should surmount. It was the first republican to succeed in this state since george bush won in 1988.

At the moment the two top issues for swing states are immigration and marijuana legalization. Swing states map 2016 biden does have a narrow advantage in the critical swing states of florida michigan pennsylvania and wisconsin.